Monday, 3 October 2022

It is not “Climate Denial” to state the facts about hurricane incidence in the US

Click above to go to Tweet and the thread
The red dotted line is the trend line 1900-2020
Which facts about hurricanes in the US are:

  • The number of hurricanes making landfall in the US since 1900 has declined in the century.
  • The costs of hurricanes making landfall in the US since 1900 are steady, no increase, in the century.
  • The deaths by hurricanes making landfall in the US since 1900 have fallen sharply in the century.

Those are the data. And yet, all we see on the media -- like in the wake of Hurricane Ian -- is that hurricanes are more frequent and more deadly. That’s not true. Even the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration talking to CNN, saying this, doesn’t convince the likes of CNN to change their tune. 

The thing I realise is that if people have a fixed view, the science, the data, is not going to change their minds. So I wonder, what then? If people are impervious to the data, to the reality, to the truth, to the science, what can be done, and how do we move forward on tackling climate change, in a way that makes scientific sense? Or is it me? Am I the one suffering cognitive dissonance? 

Yet, we don’t deny the reality of climate change because we show these data. We merely show the facts. 

Yes, we must tackle climate change. But from a basis of understanding the facts. Not by scaring people. For scaring people can backfire, people not trusting anything said by the climate alarm proponents.