Thursday, 18 January 2018

Climate sensitivity study suggests narrower range of potential outcomes | Science | The Guardian

Interesting article all the more so because in The Guardian...
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2018/jan/18/worst-case-global-warming-scenarios-not-credible-says-study


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“Joining China’s New Silk Road Will Help Fast Track Australia” |Stephen Loosley, The Australian

[NOTE to Letters editor: this is not a letter to the editor so much as a comment to pass on to Mr Loosley, if you would. But by all means publish it if you wish]:
Mr Loosley, I found your article today well argued and persuasive. A good summary of how Australia ought to play its multilateral ties to best advantage in this increasingly complex world. 
But...
The figures on Chinese vs US economy projections can't be correct.  
For the Chinese economy to be worth $42 Trillion by 2030 it would need to grow at 8% pa*. That used to be the case but is no longer.  Growing at the more likely 6% pa would give it a nominal GDP of about $30 T by then. (And even that may be a stretch)..
The US economy is worth today some $24 T. So for it to be the same in 2030 means zero growth, again unlikely.
If the US grows instead about 2% pa, its economy would be some $ 35 T, still larger than China's, not 43% smaller as implied by the Treasury figures quoted. 
This doesn't invalidate the point you make about the importance of our relationship with China and of its with the US. But still, lies, damned lies... and all that. Best to get the figures as correct as possible in these days of "fake news", what?

Peter Forsythe
Former Australia diplomat in China and Hong Kong: Executive GM of East Asia for Austrade. 
Visiting Australia; but living at:
9 Siena One
Discovery Bay
Hong Kong
852 9308 0799

* Figures I use are from the World Bank. 

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Tuesday, 16 January 2018

Of Leftism and Racism. (And shitholes and hypocrisy).

Those of the US left argue that the Salvadorans on temporary protected status visas should not be sent home because El Salvador is still a corrupt, dangerous country, ripe with crime and under the control of criminal gangs; riven by unspeakable violence and endemic poverty.
Yet when Donald Trump argues that countries like El Salvador, Haiti and other similarly lawless countries are shitholes for the very same reasons put forward by the Left, he is described at racist.
He might use colourful language, he might even be racist, but it cannot be because he agrees with the Left about El Salvador and the like. He is described as racist because that is the extent of the left's arguments.

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Thursday, 11 January 2018

VIDEO: PM Netanyahu Spells Out The Threat Of Radical Islam | Yeshiva World News

Speaking truth to NATO. And a lot of common sense that we must heed. The potential, forthcoming, Sunni-Shi'a battle over the Middle East with severe and bad impacts in Europe.
Netanyahu be de man...
https://www.theyeshivaworld.com/news/israel-news/1446387/video-pm-netanyahu-spells-out-the-threat-of-radical-islam.html

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Wednesday, 10 January 2018

“US, tell Trump to grow up or get out”, 9 January

Poor Jenna Price! She "spent months crying" at Hillary's defeat by Trump. But then she has the gall to call Trump childish. ("US, tell Trump to grow up or get out", 9 January). 
In the very next sentence she inoculates herself against the possibility that anything Trump did could change her mind. Not saving the world, not curing cancer. Nothing will budge her from her Trump hate. That Trump is evil, a Nazi, a homophobic, misogynist child. (I think he is none of these, by the way). 
Such hyperventilating hyperbole will do nothing to help win the presidency for the Democrats in 2020. 
Instead of snide sarcasm — which passes for clever humour to the likes of Price — what's needed is an understanding of what made so many vote for Trump. And what made so few vote for Hillary — at least in those heartland states where it mattered not in the liberal states where it didn't. Imagine how bad Hillary had to be to lose to a man now claimed to be senile, mentally unstable and childish!  Democrats must learn from Hillary's defeat not continue obsessively to re-litigate it. 
To be clear I am not and have never been a Trump supporter. But I do know some Trump voters, unlike, I suspect, Ms Price from the dismissive way she speaks about them. They are not all knuckle dragging troglodytes. Indeed those I know in Hong Kong are smart liberal minded folk. 
Come on Ms Price! It's time you did some growing up yourself. Or stop with this repetitive, boring whinging. 
Peter Forsythe
9 Siena One
Discovery Bay 
Hong Kong
+852 93080799
(Currently visiting Canberra)

http://www.smh.com.au/comment/americans-be-good-parents-and-tell-trump-to-grow-up-20180108-h0ez4l.html

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Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Wednesday, 3 January 2018

Islamist extremism: dance with an enemy we dare not name

Good take on the issue. Here the latest attack, clearly terrorist-based according to the perpetrator hikes, is staunchly blamed on mental issues...
Comments are good too....
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/inquirer/islamist-extremism-dance-with-an-enemy-we-dare-not-name/news-story/e94f4cf544608e5fc4d520226fd04c75

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Monday, 25 December 2017

The Corporate Tax-Cut Dividend - WSJ

Merry Christmas to US workers!
I'm agnostic on the tax cuts as I don't enough about them. And the commentary is irredeemably partisan. All good to republicans and all bad to democrats.
But one thing no one seems to have been expecting. That major companies would hand out $US 1,000 cheques for Christmas as a direct result. Or that they would up the minimum wage to $15/ hr, a figure the likes of Bernie Sanders have called for.
But the democrats led by Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer are incensed anyway.
Says the Journal:
> If Nancy Pelosi ever did anything in her political career that produced this result from corporations, she'd be dancing down the aisles of the House of Representatives in a Santa Claus suit. Instead, the Democrats are dripping bile on the entire bill. "There are only two places where America is popping champagne," said Sen. Schumer, "the White House and the corporate board rooms."

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-corporate-tax-cut-dividend-1513902063


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Saturday, 23 December 2017

What on Earth is Italy doing?

They're now airfreighting in economic migrants direct from Libya. Airfreight because coming by sea was drowning too many.
And they hope that there "will be many more" such airfreights.
I must say my flabber is gasted. Do they have the agreement of the Italian people to do this? They do not. How do we know this? Because of poll after poll that shows upward of three in four Italians do not want an increase in this sort of undocumented immigration.
Empathy and sympathy, yes. But not just for the illegal immigrants. Also for the poor Italian people - and I mean poor in the literal sense - who are most impacted by unskilled immigrants. What about them?
I find it amazing and sad that Italian politicians are complicit in their own suicide.
The alternative would be to set up and support safe spaces in Libya. That's the approach of the UK and strikes me as far more sensible and more humane too. Keep the people near where they would rather be if all were well. And that's in North Africa. Not to bring North Africa to Europe. Why would you want that? Italian virtue-signalling elites apparently.

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Friday, 22 December 2017

Stephen Sackur and so-called “Hard Talk”.

To the BBC:
So now the BBC won't even mention Christmas?  
A "Happy New Year", that's all were wished by Stephen Sackur. Shame. Hardly Hard Talk. 
Remind me: what is this holiday next week? Something starting with "C"...?
Yet you'll happily wish the world a Happy Eid or peaceful Ramadan.
What a mockery of your repeated claims  of fearless truth telling. The "most trusted name in journalism".  Sure. 
The truth of Christmas wiped. 
(I'm atheist, BTW, so I've no Christian skin in this game). 
Shame on you all for that pusillanimous decision. 
"Inclusion". Hah!

Peter Forsythe
Hong Kong 
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Thursday, 21 December 2017

The Conflict over Jerusalem Is ALL Obama's Fault

A powerful piece by. Alan Dershowitz, all the more credible not only because he is professor Emeritus of Law at Harvard, but also because he's a long-term Democrat, supporter of Obama and Hillary.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/11574/jerusalem-conflict-obama


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Harry's Place » Palestinians don’t know what winning looks like

A good article by The Zionist, with some equally good comments
http://hurryupharry.org/2017/12/19/palestinians-dont-know-what-winning-looks-like/


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Tuesday, 19 December 2017

Muslim Views on Morality | Pew Research Center

http://www.pewforum.org/2013/04/30/the-worlds-muslims-religion-politics-society-morality/


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Emotion and Feeling Beat Critical Thinking - WSJ


A good  explanation for the rise of the snowflake generation. 
Letter to the WSJ Editor:
As a 30-year educator of American university students, I can summarize the reason in one word: ideology.

In his essay on education, Bertrand Russell wrote: "The prevention of free inquiry is unavoidable so long as the purpose of education is to produce belief rather than thought, to compel the young to hold positive opinions on doubtful matters rather than to let them see the doubtfulness and be encouraged to independence of mind. Education ought to foster the wish for truth, not the conviction that some particular creed is the truth."

https://www.wsj.com/articles/emotion-and-feeling-beat-critical-thinking-1513526558

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Monday, 18 December 2017

Re: The 'snowflakes' again


Haha that's funny!  Though to be fair there's not so much snowflakery in STEM. 
I read the other day that snowflakes are triggered by the term "snowflake"...
A recent podcast, with Dave Rubin, iirc, has his guest, an academic, saying that university administrations are starting to push back against the snowflake pretensions and demands.  Mainly because alumni are saying they're not going to continue donations if the SJW thing continues. Money talks. Snowflakes melt. 
The pendulum effect kicks in again. 

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“A war Trump won” | NYT

Good morning P!
Yes I read that and had sent to you last night also, but it disappeared from my Outbox before it went....
I had commented that part of the reason for the win (which Douthat doesn't mention) was Trump Admin's changed rules of engagement (ROE). The generals were given flexibility to get on with the job. I'd read about that somewhere last week.  Under Obama they'd only been allowed to be defensive. Under Trump ROE they can go on offensive. Made all the difference according to the generals. 
(Obama really was a pusillanimous prick on foreign policy. Can't forgive him - and neither do commentators from all political sides - for the Syria "red line" bungle-cum-catastrophe). 
This article was spot on the timing that Scott Adams predicted for this phase. The phase being "acknowledge his effectiveness even if you don't like what's being done". He'd predicted it way back as December. 
Also note what Douthat says about the Trump admin Jerusalem decision. No major push back from the Arab world because they've got other things going on including getting along better with Israel. I'd add heightened Sunni v Shia competition.  Saudi v Iran. 
From a chilly Hong Kong — 10 degrees. 

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On 17 Dec 2017, at 9:51 PM

Sunday, 17 December 2017

The Uncomfortable Truth About Swedish Anti-Semitism - The New York Times


Finally in the MSM news about Sweden that those in the blogosphere have known for many years: that immigrants to Sweden of Islamic background are creating havoc, with rapes and murders skyrocketing and, as reported here, rising and violent anti-semitism. 
But the media and politicians in Sweden have studiously looked the other way. Until now... perhaps. As this article by the pulchritudinous Paulina Neuding (above) suggests. I hope she's right. 
Let's get this out of the way: of course the majority of Muslim immigrants in Sweden, as elsewhere, are law abiding and want to get on with life just like the rest of us.  But large minorities are involved in violence (10-25% according to various polls). 
And as for anti-semitism that would be close to 100% of Muslims pretty much wherever they are. It's deeply ingrained in the doctrines of Islam, especially the Koran and Hadith. 
I would guess that the average Leftie who doesn't follow the issue closely would say that anti-semitism is a thing of the Right. Well, yes it used to be.  But now it's mostly from Muslims. And the second largest anti-Semitic group in Sweden are those on the Left. Presumably these "left-wing extremists" have bought the idea that Palestinians should be handed over all lands between "the river and the sea", that is to say all of Israel, and that if this were to happen peace and good fellowship  would prevail in the world. 
Historically, anti-Semitism in Sweden could mainly be attributed to right-wing extremists. While this problem persists, a study from 2013showed that 51 percent of anti-Semitic incidents in Sweden were attributed to Muslim extremists. Only 5 percent were carried out by right-wing extremists; 25 percent were perpetrated by left-wing extremists.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/14/opinion/sweden-antisemitism-jews.html

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Thursday, 14 December 2017

Wednesday, 13 December 2017

35,000 jihadists now present in the UK, almost two full World War II divisions

UK's defence secretary Gavin Williamson said in an interview  that ISIS fighters and other jihadists who take up arms against the Sovereign should be eliminated. He said that they are legitimate targets for the military and that nobody who voluntarily joins an organization or a state which is at war with the United Kingdom, should be allowed back into the country. He's not alone.
https://www.jihadwatch.org/2017/12/35000-jihadists-now-present-in-the-uk-almost-two-full-world-war-ii-divisions


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