Saturday 1 August 2020

University of Cambridge: Covid deaths v other causes


From the University of Cambridge Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication.
The Centre notes:
We note the massive increase in the numbers of Covid deaths for increasing age.
Compared with other causes over the whole year:
  • For each age-group under 20, fewer have died with Covid than on average die from flu each year. This means that for all ages above 20, more have died from Covid than would typically die from flu each year.
  • For those over 90, around the same number have died with Covid as died from flu in 2014-2015, the worst recent year.
  • For each age-group under 35, fewer have died with Covid than on average die from road accidents each year.
  • For each age-group under 50, fewer have died with Covid than on average die from accidents and injuries each year.
Yet we get people saying this, with heaps of Likes and Retweets::

It is in fact, exactly, “an old person’s disease” Two young people with Covid says no more than two young people getting dementia. It happens. Doesn’t mean the diseases are not old people’s diseases. And to bring “insensitive” into it? Steady on!
ADDED: From the spreadsheet above:
  • Deaths in over 65 = 89.3% of total
  • Under 25 = 0.1%
  • Under 45 = 1.1% 
This is very much “an old person’s disease”.  At least, in terms of deaths. The figures are very similar for Australia, US and China.