Former PM Paul Keating criticises AUKUS pact and discusses relations with China | ABC News

 

Click above for the video

Paul Keating spoke at the Press Club in Canberra, with some pretty spicy takes on the AUKUS treaty (he hates it) and our commitment to buy nuclear powered subs from the US and UK (he also hates that). And some very robust -- more like rude -- reactions to questions from the press.  For those in the comments saying we need someone with his wisdom back in parliament, well, he’s burnt his bridges by his own Labor Party and with the Media. Quite a Q & A.

I met Paul Keating when he was Prime Minister, back in 1994 and I was Executive General Manager of East Asia for Austrade. I was flown to Canberra to brief him on his forthcoming China trip. In the room just him and a couple and on my side just me and a couple. As I went through the issues and what we needed to hit hard on the trip, he took notes by hand on an A4 lined pad. Detailed. Like... asked for me to repeat some bits so he could get it all down. I went to China and we next met in Beijing, with the then Chinese President, Jiang Zemin. I was in the room sat one away from Keating, next to our Ambassador. What impressed me was that when it came to trade issues, Keating made the exact points I’d asked him to make, and word perfect. 

I don’t know anything about submarines, but it appears that Keating does. He makes a good case why we’re crazy, in Australia, to buy these nuclear subs. When we could by 45 Collins-class subs, for the price of the 8 nuclear ones we’re going to get. And we’d get them sooner. And they’d be more relevant to Australia defending its borders, as opposed to going into the South China Sea to confront China. 

All that said and even agreed, on the overall China-Australia relationship he most certainly does come across as a China Bull, to the extent of being a China shill. Not a single criciticm of China. Not a one. When there are many that impact us directly. Or on which we ought have views, because of International Treaties we’re signed on to. 

On the latter point, of course, there’s Xinjiang and the treatment of the Uygurs. The imprisonment of one million in camps for “reeducation”, which has been called a genocide by the United Nations and senior politicians in the UK and the US. Keating dismisses it as “there’s some debate on it.” Shame. 

There’s the trade embargo on Australia. Which is against all WTO rules. Which, again, he dismisses as a piffle. 

There’s China’s encroachment in the South China Sea, which has upset countries in SE Asia. They have historically high distrust of China, per various polls. Keating again dismisses this with a wave of the hand, as just some islands the size of Centennial Park in Sydney. 

There’s the way China has manipulated the WTO to its benefit in a case of mercantilism on steroids.  Yet again, Keating dismisses this. Even though it was the US that ushered China into the WTO and it was the Chinese manipulation of it that led to US tangles with China that persist to today. 

That’s not an exhaustive list. Just some that come to mind, without going off an Googling. But for Keating all of this is for nothing and he has only the highest praise for China. And only criticism for Australia. For that I’m kinda anti the guy. Even if he may be right on the submarines. 

COVID origin case reopened: A lab leak is a legitimate question - Matt Ridley

Four months ago but still relevant from the man who knows most about the issue, who is not a US government scientist (most of whom have an agenda to trash the lab leak theory. Because, one assumes, the US government, and hence Fauci, have a deep desire for the world not to know how much gain-of-function research they carried out in Wuhan, and even some in the United States.
The other day I posted about Lord Ridley's comments on the recent Raccoon Dog theory, which has even less credibility than all the other zoonotic origin theories.
https://www.mattridley.co.uk/blog/covid-origin-case-reopened-a-lab-leak-is-a-legitimate-question/


Sent from my iPad

Nostalgia

 

What a horrible duo!

My wisdoms. So I’ve lost wisdom.... Came out this morning. 

Aren’t they horrible?!

China population happiest in world | IPSOS

Click to enlarge 

Do we believe these figures? Do I believe them? That 91% of Chinese tell the IPSOS Global Happiness Survey pollsters that they’re happy? Well, yes, on the whole and based just on my trips to China, where I always make a point of chatting to folks. All I talk to are happy, optimistic. Then again, I find that about the States, too, despite all the sturm und drang we see on the news. And most place, tbf. Except Russia, when we went across it in 2017, everyone seemed as sour as the borscht. 

But Saudi Arabia at 86% happy? Huh? I’ve been there and I find it grim. Perhaps it’s because most Saudis haven’t been outside. Netherlands at 85%? Yes, believe, kind of… though there’s plenty of farmers who aren’t too happy with the government that wants to take away their farms because …”climate crisis”.

I wonder where Australia is. Hong Kong is fairly down the list. 

ADDED: Australia is on 80%, quite high, but 4% down on the last survey. Hong Kong is not covered. Here. 

Yesterday on Victoria harbour | ART BASEL Hong Kong

25 metre (80’j catamaran. HSBC, our bank, invited us for afternoon drinks yesterday. To promote Art Basel, Hong Kong, of which the bank is prime sponsor, on 21 to 26 March. 

Early onboard. More folks turned up later!

This is terribly important. If we believe Dr Redfield we should stop Gain of Function research

Dr Robert Redfield was the head of the CDC in the United States. Which I’d always thought of as the gold-plated repository of knowledge on all matters health. But no. During Covid and the new head Rochelle Wolenski  it has crowned itself in shame. Misinformation about masks, vaccines and mandates. To today. 

We see the playing out of the battle between highly-credentialed scientists on opposite sides of an issue. That’s science. Never settled. Redfield v Fauci on lab leak v zoonotic origin of Covid. 

Update from Matt Ridley on the latest story about Racoon Dogs as a spreader. Word doc here. 

Is THIS the moment you’ve been waiting for?

 

“Steady hands Joe”. Really?

A mate here in Hong Kong, a man I’ve known and loved for years and who I’ve always thought sound, says that he’s a full-on Biden supporter because, he says, Biden is a “steady pair of hands”.

Now here goes. And here goes — please to note — from a non-Trump person. Just I’m a Biden Bear big time. Joining other Democrats who criticise the man. As the late-night comedians used to do to any administration, part of the deal, to keep the powerful to account. But who now to a man are simply Biden boosters. Enough. 

Off the top of the head, re Biden as a “safe pair of hands”. Nothing Googled:

“A steady pair of hands?”

A man who screwed up handling Covid, with unnecessary mandates and lockdowns — many that continue to this day. With zero sense and less science. 

That locked down the economy, ruining mom-and-pop stores nationwide. That closed schools. When told Europe kept their schools open, said “that’s Europe, this is the US”. Science, right? 

That pumped Trillions— with a “T” — of US dollars into the economy, to make up for his lockdown damage and when told this will lead to inflation said “no, it won’t”.

And when did lead to inflation was told it would lead to increase in interest rates, and said “no, it won’t”.

And when it did lead to increased interest rates, we have banking collapses, and stagflation — high interest rates, high inflation and high unemployment. 

Which is where we are now.

And that’s just domestically. (And far from a full accounting of the domestic damage from Joe’s “steady hands”. E.G. the whole Title IX stuff, room for a book).

Internationally there’s: 

Afghanistan which he abandoned, even though he didn’t have to, that was just “steady hand Joe”. Which handed the Taliban not just the country, and all its women to suppress, but also hundreds of billions of latest American armaments. All unnecessary and so, so sad, for the abandoned people of Afghanistan. 

And then have the green light for Putin to invade Ukraine, by letting him know the US would do nothing if they “just” invaded the East, the Donbas region. And so: Ukraine war. 

And then bombed the Nordstream gas pipeline, to punish Germany for being too close to Russia, and lied about it, even as we know he did it — you could only believe he didn’t do it, if you’re the person that believes he’s a “steady pair of hands” — that’s an act of war on an ally.

And none of this to even mention his dealings with spies in China, with crooks in Ukraine, the money he made from them, all recorded by his crackhead son, on Hunter’s laptop, which the MSM assiduously ignores, because … well, “steady hands Joe.” 

And not to mention — how can we?— that he shat in his pants in Germany. That he farted in front of the Queen. Well, she did laugh, so there’s that. 

We have in Joe Biden a President who shits on the world, literally and figuratively, who farts in the face of royalty. Who screws up his own nation. And this man, this senile, this flatulent, this incompetent, this corrupt, this pathetic old man is …

“Steady hands Joe.”

Right. 

BIDEN SUPPORTERS: give me the counter! 

Dr Clare Craig on the scientific response to the COVID-19 pandemic, lock...

Click above for video

Dr Clare Craig is a consultant pathologist with over twenty years’ experience. She is co-chair of the Health Advisory and Recovery Team (HART). I don’t know HART and haven’t googled it, but I suspect it might be described as a “misinformation” group, on the basis that it doesn’t agree (or doesn’t always agree) with the government agenda. I’d rather just listen to what she says, with her expertise. She’s not a YouTube rando!

Above she talks to “British Thought Leaders”.

Victorian Premier conflates Nazis and women’s rights activists

Click above for video

Kellie-Jay Keen is the “controversial anti-trans activist” mentioned in so many articles, one from The Guardian right here. She is in fact leader of a group she calls “Let Women Speak” whose aim is to protect rights women have fought for over half a century. 

She is a women’s rights activist. Saying “anti-trans” is wrong. As you’ll see from the long-form interview above.  

She speaks for women’s rights in the face of intrusions by some in the trans community and Radical Trans Activists (TRA), many of whom are left wing and not at all trans! 

Nazis turned up. Who knows why. Spoiling for a fight maybe? Or could they have been a Fifth Column? Sent in by TRAs to make Kellie-Jay look bad? So that bad across like the Victoria Premier Dan Andrews can call her a merchant of “hate speech”?

What she actually talks about is:

• The intrusion into women’s spaces by biological men, identifying as women. 
• Specifically into women’s prisons: where men who have committed crimes take advantage of new self-identity laws lets them demand to be in women’s prisons. That caused a huge ruckus recently in Scotland and led to the downfall of Nicola Sturgeon. 
• Against the transitioning and radical surgery in minors. Something which has now had a backlash in the UK and an increasing number of European countries. So why so controversial in Australia. 

And yet when I look at Dan Andrews’ tweets, in all he talks as if the Nazis and Kellie-Jay Keen’s “Let Women Speak” were made to sound ine and the same. I’ve seen Keen in several long-form podcasts and she is in no way a Nazi and would have been horrified by Nazis intruding her get together, a gathering of women who are speaking up against the erosion of rights that were hard win over the last half century. Shame on Andrews, and all the MSM that you read if you Google “Kelly Jay Keen in Melbourne”.

ADDED: Kellie-Jay Keen on Wikipedia says she’s an “anti-trans activist”. If you look at what that means, she is none of it. She is only concerned with protecting the rights of women in the face of challenges by radical trans activists to overtake women’s spaces. Imagine young girls and women in female spaces being confronted by biological males, with full kit (around 95% of trans women have not removed their male genitalia). Women and girls don’t like it. Understandably. So where are the trans women to go? Answer: in the men’s room or in gender-neutral places (or ok in women’s room for the 5% who are post-operative, I presume). The answer to the sensitivity of some, can’t be to ignore the sensitivity of many. 

A Tory BBC? Everyone I met there in 25 years was flaming red

BBC apparatchiks see The Spectator as "extremist material". Heh!

flare

 

Koran 37.6

A Past mindset Australia China relations

'A past mindset': Aukus upends Australia's attempted US-China balancing act scmp.com

The Biden-DeSantis Rebalancing Act | Andrew Sullivan

Anything but Trump And also Anything but Biden. 

An interesting analysis of where we stand on the Biden for 2024 campaign   
I'm not sure about Sullivan's comment on the "unconstitutionality" of some of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ moves.  I don't see it, but then I'm not a US Constitutional lawyer That'd be our son John who I must ask about that.
Surely Andrew is not talking of some of the moves to control what books are allowed in schools. Because that's an issue of curriculum not of Free Speech.

US extremist violence

Sitting here in Hong Kong with my print copy of The Atlantic, I'm very clear that this is a liberal — maybe uber-liberal — magazine. So I expect a left-of-centre slant. But did Adrienne LaFrance's piece on extremist violence in America have to be quite so partisan? Does balance count for nothing these days at The Atlantic?

Sure, she mentions left-wing violence. In early 20th century United States, she reminds us of the anarchistic violence, the mass-murderous bombings by the Galleanists. Then there's Italy in the 1960s and 70s, the "Years of Lead" (when I lived there, by the way), with its ultra-left bombingly murderous mayhem. In today's United States, she mentions, glancingly, violence by the left-wing Antifa. No mention of BLM. But the real threat today, she says, is not those left wing rioters, but… the Proud Boys! Horrid right wingers! 

I'm sat here in Hong Kong, as I was in 2020, with full access to all the world's MSM and all the world's Social Media. I watched the violence that erupted across the US in 2020. 

I watched it on CNN and on MSNBC and on BBC and also on Fox (forgive me!). 

I was not there in Portland, so I have to go on what I saw. And what I saw was that the violence, not just in Portland, but also in Seattle, in Kenosha, in Los Angeles, in New York, in Chicago, across the country was mostly Antifa and BLM. The Proud Boys may have been there, but they weren't obvious. And you'd think that if they were there, certainly the likes of CNN & Co, would have pointed them out.

I have friends in Portland who took photos of the graffiti. The graffiti I saw in Portland and Seattle was all left-wing and anarchist. "ACAB" (All Cops are Bastards), "Kill the cops" and "Kill a MAGA-man today". "Destroy Capitalism". That sort of lovely stuff. 

Yet still, LaFrance concludes the biggest danger is from the right.  I would urge her, and The Atlantic, to heed their own advice: to follow the science. Follow the data. Follow the facts.

This has impact. The readership of the The Atlantic is almost all liberal left. They read this and are confirmed in the their belief that it's all the fault -- not just of "far-right terrorists” -- but of all Republicans!  And therefore they hate even more on their political opponents. Remember: in his last SOTU, Joe Biden said half the country are "semi Nazis". WTF??

A decent society should allow for political differences, without thinking the opposite party are your enemies.

If each side were more aware of the violence each side does, maybe there's some chance to tone it down.

As it is LaFrance's essay only serves to stoke tensions. 

China shoots itself in the foot

It’s a click bait headline, but still pretty good. Click above for the video 

This is a year old, but still a pretty decent summary of China's bullying of Australia over the call for an investigation into the origin of Covid. As in “we have nothing to hide. How dare you call for an investigation.”

China never bought Australian coking coal, steaming coal, iron ore, lithium, seafood and wines as a favour to Australia. It did it because they needed and wanted these things. The only people they hurt were Chinese. Australia meanwhile quickly pivoted and found other markets. If you look at the historical GDP charts for this period for Australia, as I did a while back, you can hardly see a blip from the Chinese thuggery.

China deserves to suffer for this thuggish act. They still are.

Cochrane Library: Masks, Science and Tribalism

Much angst amongst mask zealots. Cochrane Library has come out with a study, actually an update of a previous study, that concludes “there is no evidence that masks work”. 

For the record: Cochrane Library are regarded as the gold standard in the collection of global data on medical-health issues. 

And: their concussion is not quite that masks don’t work, but that they work only marginally -- in some cases not at all -- and not enough to warrant mandates. Which is where I ended up in my letter to the editor a few weeks ago: “Extraordinary mandates require extraordinary evidence”, which they don’t have. For some individuals, masking may work, but they need to be on tight and all the time. That’s not the way populations wear masks. And that’s the point of the Cochrane Study: at a population level and when you mandate, they don’t really cut it. 

UPDATE: there’s been some confusion over an “apology” from Cochrane Library over the conclusion that “there is no evidence that masks make any difference”. The apology was from a senior editor at  Cochrane -- not the authors of the study -- and there’s evidence the editor was pressured into it. The authors have objected and stand by their findings. There’s more on that story here.  

The Study

Cochrane Library: Physical interventions to interrupt or reduce the spread of respiratory viruses. The WebArchive version is here.

Lead author Tom Jefferson comes with impressive resume. He digs deep into data. For example, in 2012 he was lead researcher on a study into oseltamivir (Tamiflu). According to Wikipedia:  

In 2012, Jefferson was the lead author of another Cochrane review of this data which concluded that oseltamivir [Tamiflu] did not reduce the number of hospitalizations caused by influenza. Jefferson said that this review also found no evidence that oseltamivir stopped complications from the disease.^[6] The review is considered a landmark and is posted on the James Lind Library website^[7] which illustrates the development of fair tests of healthcare. [my emphasis]

The critics of the Study: abc News here, Conversations, here, New York Times, here (with critique here and here), The Guardian, here (with critique here). The Washington Post, here (with critique here)

The critics of the critics of the Study: Vinay Prasad* MD, MPH, here, here and here. Kevin Bass, here. Kyle Lamb, here. Paul D. Thacker, here. Rod Liddle, here.

The sum of all the critics of the study is: the study doesn’t show masks don’t work. It shows that there is no evidence that they do. IOW “the absence of evidence is not evidence of absence”, which is taken apart by Dr Prasad in his pieces above, where he says the Cochrane study is simply following the same standards used for the study of all other medicines and non-medical interventions. Masks ought not be treated differently. 

Then: “it’s apples and oranges” comparison, a critique by both the Conversations criticism and The Guardian, so seems they’ve cribbed off each other. In any case, it’s a fact that’s acknowledged by the Cochrane study authors themselves. They worked with what data they had. And that data was mixed. In total data from 78 RCTs, 11 of which were post the start of Covid. They acknowledge this is not enough and we need more. A question might be asked: why has the CDC or UK equivalents not done so? Especially in relation to masking by children, on which there’s not a single RCT? 

Their criticism seems to be: you’re measuring people as they actually use masks, not how they should be  used. Well, exactly. Because how people use masks is how people use masks. You can’t force compliance with some correct way of wearing masks. I know that from here in Hong Kong, where we had a very compliant and obedient population, but after a while masks were below noses and on chins. That’s just the reality. And that’s also the reality of population-wide mandates. People just get sick of them. It’s even the way with doctors and nurses who all say that they never wear the mask the whole day. It’s just too unconformable to be worn non-stop.

(ADDED: quite a while back I thought there might be a difference in how masks work in a laboratory and how the work in the Real World. And it turns out that’s true.)

Agenda: what would be the agenda of people saying “masks don’t work”? What skin in the game do they have?? Shorting mask-making stocks? Whereas C. Raina MacIntyre, lead author of the Conversation piece reveals in her Disclosure statement that she works for a mask manufacturer. Not that I’m saying that may have influenced her views in any way. Just sayin’. To repeat: there can be no agenda for finding against masks, for what’s the gain?

Bottom line: Cochrane Library is the best collection of data on mask effectives that we have to date. It’s the best we know on the available evidence. If you don’t like it, then have other studies go at it. The authors of the Cochrane study suggest this themselves. Even taking into account the critics, the most we can say, the most mask-friendly thing we can say is that the study doesn’t show that they definitely don’t work. At the very best that’s inconclusive. And it’s not the extraordinary evidence we need for the extraordinary demands that are made by mandates. As I said in my letter to the editor, here. 

End of the day, mask wearing or not became one remains tribal. If you’re of the mask wearing tribe, you’ll look at the headlines in the critics of the Cochrane study and conclude that masks do work. And if you’re in the anti mask-mandate tribe, you’ll take comfort from the Cocharane study and keep on leaving your face open to the fresh air. And you’d be more right about that. Because you’d be following The Science. As far we know it today. Science might change conclusions. But for now, it’s Cochrane. 

And, on this I think I’m done. Till next time. Mask you later!

*Vinay Prasad MD MPH Hematologist Oncologist. Associate Professor of Epidemiology and Biostatistics. www.vinayakkprasad.com

Team Malizia at 30 knots in the Southern Ocean

Click above for the video

They’re having so much fun! Team Malizia in the Southern Ocean SE of New Zealand, on the way to Brazil in The Ocean Race.  [Tracker]

This year the boats are all enclosed. In the past they were out in the open with cold waves crashing over them and the deck. I doubt we’ll see that again in round-the-world boats. This is the way for racing round the world. Carbon-light, foils, enclosed decks. 

These are IMOCA 60 -- International Monohull Offshore Class Association, 60 feet long. They are all the same. So the first there is there winner. Scoring: first gets the most points, last the least (opposite of all the racing we’ve done in IRC boats, where the first gets one point, second two points, etc, and the aim is the least points. In the One-Class format, the aim is the most points). 

Holcim has a handy lead at the half-way mark)

"Guardian's HIT PIECE On Russell Brand And His 'Descent Into CONSPIRACY “ | The Hill

They, the Left — or maybe I should say the far left — can’t stand it when someone, especially of their tribe, wanders even one foot off the reservation. You must abide by the whole catechism or begone!

Don Lemon's Encounter With Morgan Freeman.

"Put your mind to what you want to do, and do it"
— Morgan Freeman

Doesn’t agree with Lemon that racism holds people back:

Lemon: Do you think race plays a part in wealth distribution and chances in society?

Freeman: No. Look at us!

Incredible drone shots of Holcim at 33 knots

 

Holcim, in the lead in The Ocean Race. She covered a record of 590 nautical miles in 24 hours, almost 25 knots average. For that she’d have to be doing above 30 knots most of the time. 

“Indonesian villagers take on Swiss cement giant Holcim to seek climate justice” | SCMP

These folks are planning to sue Holcim cement company.

Holcim have a boat in The Ocean Race, around the world with four crew in IMOCA 60s. They are currently leading. [See above video]

The race is a showpiece for action on the Climate Emergency. Holcim has entered to highlight its credentials as the most clean cement producer in the world. That is, with the lowest carbon dioxide emissions per tonne of cement.

And yet this is the company that Indonesian islanders plan to sue?

They would be better off seeking Holcim's help in building levees to replace the crude rock banks they have.

Poor people need infrastructure. They need iron, steel, cement, glass, carbon fibre wires. They don't need to sue these manufacturers no matter how virtuous it makes their Green proponents feel. For make no mistake: this is not their idea; it's come from Green whisperers telling them how wicked the cement companies, the steel companies, all these, are. 

ADDED: I just discovered that the above link is to an article from August 2022. The print article I read is today. But search not found online. Both pretty much identical stories. 

Silicon Valley Bunk

Why did Silicon Valley Bank go bust? Because its assets were eroded. Why that? Because it bought US Treasuries. Why that? Because “it’s gilt”, because the government encouraged them to do so — copper-bottomed blue-chip!  But which then plunged in value. Why that? Because inflation >> higher interest rates. Higher interest rates >> lower bond price. Because that’s the iron law, the first thing I learned in 1969 in Eco 101, bond prices and interest rates are inversely correlated. Why inflation up? Because US government firehosed cash into the economy 2020-22. Why that? Because lockdowns, coz Covid. People needed money to make up for lost business. Why lockdowns? GOOD question! At the time there were other options, mainly the a great Barrington Declaration. But it was snuffed out because government had its own agenda: lockdowns are the only way. They were not. We knew then, but were ignored and vilified. We still know now.

To blame this on anything other than government mishandling is Silicon Valley BUNK.

SCMP - Chinese investment in Australia up, but US still leading foreign investor

Aussie mates living and doing business in China say their business is booming: in taking money from high net worth individual Chinese to put into Australia so they can get a "Gold Visa". That is: their escape route from China should things turn really bad.
To the extent that the Chinese investment is corporate, it's to buy up our assets, especially ones in short supply for the future industries, like Lithium, rare earths. And property, of course.
But that's not the reason Americans invest in Australia. They do so more as an extension of their business in the US.

Without doing a deep dive, I’d guess US investment in Oz is better net-net for Australians than is Chinese. But I don’t know and could be persuaded otherwise. 

Bougainvillea Squirrels

Japanese give up mask mandates

Click to enlarge 

Above: top line is Japanese mask compliance during the pandemic — always above 90%.

Bottom line is number of cases. Notice any correlation? 

One of the early and clearest signs that there is a difference between masks in the laboratory and masks in actual human use.

Mandates dropped but people will still mask, they say.

Wang Huning: China’s Robespierre

 

Waxworks 

Note the masking policy above. Follows The Science. Click above to hear Lei on the power behind the throne in China. 

Hasn’t Fauci aged under the new GoF allegations?

	The Babylon Bee ⁦‪@TheBabylonBee‬⁩ Surviving WW2 Veteran Recounts Harrowing Story Of The Lack Of Trans Representation On D-Day babylonbee.com/news/surviving…   13/3/2023, 8:29 pm

But it’s Anthony Fauci, really, isn’t it?

David Davis on Brexit

David Davis was the main man on Brexit negotiations.
He confirms what I've been reading more about:
Theresa May seriously screwed up the negotiations.

1. By giving away the N Ireland / Rep Ireland border issue (the Good Friday Agreement)
2. By Giving away the principle of "nothing is agreed until everything is agreed". Instead she let the EU have all its demands agreed before they got to UK demands.

Japan reclaims sanity: reopens Nuclear power stations

Note the highlight; “No deaths have been directly ascribed to the nuclear accident,...”. [Fukushima]

Some people died in the mad rush to escape the area: a mad rush that turns out was unnecessary. Many more people in Japan have died in the twelve years since the accident... as a result of cold weather... as a result of no heating... as a result of closing down nuclear power stations throughout Japan. Closures that were totally unnecessary, but just panic after the accident. 

This is not hindsight. We knew at the time. Yet panic won. Scientists knew Japan didn’t need to close all its nuclear stations. But panic set in. Fukushima proved how safe nuclear power is. The station was built in the seventies, using technology of the slide rule. And it faced a thousand-year tsunami. Yet.. still.. not a single death. But still, panic reigned. It was too good an opportunity for the Greens and the anti-New Clear crowd to make hay out of the accident and to tell us, yet again -- and yet again incorrectly -- “how dangerous nuclear power is”. So dangerous that the worst nuclear power station accident since Chernobyl had zero deaths. 

It was even crazier in Germany, for Mad Mutti Merkel to shut down all Germany’s reactors, when not a single one of them faced the dangers of a Tsunami. Crazy. Even now, the Greens in Germany are refusing to allow the existing, clean, safe operating-just-fine, nuclear power stations to stay open, when Germany has a serious energy shortage. These people are mental. That’s it. Mental. 

ADDED:

My case for nuclear. 

And the chart of safety and cleanliness of New Clear energy. From Our World in Data:

Free speech … and its enemies: the censorship disinformation industry

Click for video

GG: There is no such expertise in “disinformation”. You can’t be a “disinformation expert”. It’s a scam.

So too is labelling “free speech absolutist” as “far-right bigot”. 

FYI: Greenwald is a very left-of-centre figure. I believe has identified as socialist. As a reporter he has been incensed at how his fellow media have dropped the ball over questioning power institutions and the elite. He still does so. For that he’s labelled right wing or even far-right. It’s crazy. 

Jane, 16 March 2016, Melbourne

What on earth is this? Jane might remember…

“As global economies recover from impact of Covid-19, is it time for China’s day in the sun?” | SCMP

Just as Geoff Raby has a different perspective on China from a “massive traffic jam in Beijing” so do a couple of foreigners, married to Chinese, speak the language and tour all of China in motorbikes, have a different perspective than Raby: China-based YouTubers Winston Sterzel and Matthew Tye.

Ruby’s is the perspective of the Australian government, at least the civil servants at the time he was ambassador: generally China bullish. On the other side are the China bearish, at various points of negativity from the “Coming collapse of China” Gordon Chang, to the downbeat “Lei’s Real Talk” to the demography doomsayers like Peter Zeihan. And of course the on-the-ground citizen YouTubers.

Then we have the business folk, here in Hong Kong and those long term resident in China. From these I have a sense of tightening, more anti-foreigner sentiment. Not exactly optimism. They’re still in there, ims one cases because they have to be, in others because they’re handling wealthy Chinese who are ra,img their money out of China. If voting with your Renminbi counts for anything, it’s also bearish.

I don’t buy the “China collapse” narrative. Mainly because forty-plus years in China, I’ve heard that for all that time and all that time China has just got stronger. 

But still… Xi Jinping is not an about to be overthrown, but nor is he quite as comfortable in his position as he was pre pandemic. The CCP is not about to be overthrown, but nor is it the behemoth that 100 million members might indicate, because most are members simply for their career, not necuae they are ideologically aligned, a bit like having to be Catholic in a Catholic country — it gets you ahead. 

Back to Geoff Raby and his “perspective”. He was Australia’s ambassador to China 2007-2011. I know Geoff from last century. I was at the height of my public service 1990-1995, when my position was ambassador level. I attended innumerable meetings between Australian and Chinese Ministers and most senior officials, many with Geoff.  I served three Australian ambassadors over my whole time in the Oz civil service. 

One thing the Chinese are very good at is duchessing ambassadors. They treat them so well, with so much respect, they really look after them, call them “old friends” (老朋友) who “understand China” (了解中国) — the China they are presented with, of course! That’s the treatment Geoff Raby has had. It’s no wonder he reports only the good news about China. The only people he meets in China when he visits these days are Chinese officials who let him know the latest good news in how great things are in China. If he didn’t report positive, he would no longer be given access to the “senior officials” he’s so proud of quoting. 

He would have been escorted during his most recent visit and if he’d asked not to be they would have followed him anyway and made sure he didn’t speak to any unauthorised folks in the street.  Look at his reporting! The Chinese have done a good job! He’s a spokesman for the Communist Party of China. On’ya Geoff!

If Raby were writing for an academic journal he’d have to give a “statement on conflict of interests” setting this out. As it is, writing as Op-Ed, all is fine, just go right along with carrying water for the communist party and you’ll be lionised in the comments.

Police priorities

Arresting a 90-yo granny who sold chestnuts on Hong Kong streets for 60 winters. Well done, plod!

North Plaza, Discovery Bay, Hong Kong

Vale, Basil

Basil and his best mate Marcus

Our dear old Labrador, Basil (Junior) passed today, after a long life here with us in Discovery Bay. 

In the end he couldn’t get up, couldn’t walk. All he did all day was sleep for 20 hours and bark for four. We loved him and it was sad and tearful to bid him goodbye. Our local vets were so kind and caring and compassionate. Dr J, Nurse M. There were tears and fond farewells. 

Life... and death. Death... and life. 

SCMP - War cries from Down Under will merely threaten regional peace

I haven't seen the Sydney Morning Herald or The Age articles mentioned here, by Alex Lo.They sure sound bloodthirsty! I did hear in ABC radio yesterday one professor James Curran from Sydney University who spoke well on the issue. Like "let's cool it" while also acknowledging China's increasing belligerence must be faced. [Later: SMH article here ($)]

I always think of "Reciprocity"  as a good guiding principle in international relations. We may not have had the challenge of a mercantilist China if WTO accession had not been so open-ended for China, but instead given the west reciprocal access to China markets. Remember this whole anti-China thing started with US anger at trade issues. The China market is hugely restricted to foreign companies.

My comment at the site:

Peter F.

Lo's last sentence: "This is the level of debate over national security the country has fallen to." BUT:  (1) I follow Australia media, including radio/TV and there most assuredly is fight-back against the warmongering of SMH and the Age. Keating is an example, even if he gets counter-attacked. That's the nature of *debate*. (2) Try finding any debate over China's bellogerance in SC Sea, Taiwan, Pacific Islands, among the mannequins at the "Two Meetings"! Lo's points would be better taken if there he hammered both sides equally. If not, it ends up as hypocrisy ….

The Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression: study of free speech on campuses

In all cases, in every scenario, Conservatives are more open to free speech, even on sensitive topics, than are Liberals. 

Students are less tolerant than faculty. Here is the study.

Bougainvillea Bauhinia Boy

Elon Musk Says Twitter Could Be ‘Cash-Flow Positive’ Within Months | WSJ

The Left will hate this!

They were desperate for him to fail when he bought Twitter, because he made "free speech" his touchstone. Daily they mocked him as advertisers deserted — at their urging and at their demonisations. Now they are coming back: I saw Louis Vuitton back yesterday.

Quite extraordinary to see the Left swivel on a dime, in an instant, about how they felt of Musk. He was a hero of the environment, beloved of the Left because he was fighting climate change with Tesla and batteries and Solar City, and Spacex and stuff. Then — snap! — he is a villain because he wants free speech at Twitter….

Elon Musk Says Twitter Could Be 'Cash-Flow Positive' Within 

Russel Brand owns the room

Click above for the video 

Comedy gold. Russel Brand has this amazing ability, to flip on a dime from comedy to serious them from serious to comedy. He has a quick mind and curious enquiring nature. He owns this mob.. 

Watch how Mike melts. What are the odds he bedded her straight after this in the green room….

Lowest excess deaths in Europe 2020-2022 goes to … Sweden

	Mark Changizi ⁦‪@MarkChangizi‬⁩ Lowest excess deaths in Europe over 2020 to 2022 goes to … Sweden, the one country that did not panic and toss out all wisdom. svd.se/a/JQvVnj/ander… pic.twitter.com/vzGW0msDKd   5/3/2023, 8:52 pm

Let's recall that Sweden went its own way, which was a version of the Barrington Declaration’s “focussed protection" strategy and were widely mocked for doing so. For not locking down, for not implementing mask and vaccine mandates, for keeping schools open.

Somehow I just feel that no lesson will be learnt from this by all the countries that went the strict "Covid restrictions" route.Places like Australia, Europe, much if Asia and we here in Hong Kong. I sense that 

Preparing for the next pandemic” means getting ready to lockdown and mandate even quicker and harder than last time. Just a feeling though. But look at what Matt Hancock said of Sweden at the time: he didn’t want to see if there was anything to learn from them. He just wanted “four bullet points to make them look bad”. Shame.

I commented (positively) on Sweden over the last three years on this blog, and got some blowback for doing so. Along the lines of "just you wait, Sweden will crash and burn". 

Here are the actual receipts, as they say.

Claudia Mo: Re Redux

Claudia Mo called for Hong Kong independence, which is, bluntly, bat-shit crazy. She led a movement to overthrow the Chief Executive, which is, I guess, sedition. She’s on remand awaiting trial. I’ve written about her a few times before.

Looks like her husband, Philip Bowring, doesn’t want anything to do with her…

The husband of former Hong Kong opposition lawmaker Claudia Mo Man-ching has said he did not endorse an appeal by more than 50 British politicians to the UK government to press authorities in the Asian financial hub for her release so she could visit him in hospital.

Philip Bowring, in a note released by the family on Sunday, said he left intensive care three weeks ago and had been discharged from hospital. More …

“Xi’s Chinese dream is in danger of being hijacked by ultra-left nationalism” | Wang Xiangwei

Getting a lot of this vibe from people working in China. Things getting more ideological. Not good.

Since its inception in 1921, China’s Communist Party has lurched between ultra-left radicalism and pragmatism, bringing about alternating tragedies and triumphs. 

In the first 30 years of the People’s Republic, Mao Zedong’s erroneous emphasis on ideology and class struggle, fanned by ultra-leftist nationalism, produced catastrophic consequences.

In the late 1970s, Deng Xiaoping ended the disastrous Cultural Revolution and adopted an open-door policy, which put China on the track of reform and opening up, and which paved the way for its economic lift-off.

Mindful of the devastating results of policies such as the Great Leap Forward and Anti-Rightist Campaign, Deng repeatedly warned that the party should primarily guard against ultra-leftist tendencies, even as it should be vigilant against turning to the right. Wary of the constant debate of socialism vs capitalism over the use of foreign technology and the development of the private economy, he came up with the phrase bu zheng lun(let’s dispense with theoretical debate), to focus the party’s attention on growing the economy. More …

Hong Kong City Flower

Bauhinia.

In Chinese: “Violet, thorny flower”

紫荊花

Zǐjīng huā

It’s such a lovely day!

I’m sitting here on a bench by the Promenade along the seafront of our Siena Park in Discovery Bay, Hong Kong. I’m in the middle of my daily bike ride around these forty acres. It’s 21 degrees C and just 55% humidity, dry for us.

I’m looking due East, toward Victoria Harbour — yes, it’s still called “Victoria”, bless Beijing — and past the harbour, past the Peak, past Central, past Kowloon, to the South China Sea. I think of the history this harbour has seen. Stolen by the Brits in the Opium Wars, wars fought to keep Chinese addicted. Taken by the Royal Navy as the only deep water port along this East China coast. Wondering why the Chinese had ignored deep water for so long and thinking  must have done so because their boats were shallow draft junks and sampans. Coastal vessels. Didn’t need deep water. The British had ocean-going craft with much deeper draft. So they were obsessed with deep water. Is that the reason?

A fresh easterly is blowing, off that South China Sea, brushing by Hong Kong island, bringing us clear air, fresh, clean, Covid-free.

People wander by at a regular clip, not a swarm but a regular pass-by, doing what Italians call a passeggiata. Walking. Wandering. Strolling. Enjoying the late winter sun. Some jogging. Most are Chinese, of them about 80/20 Cantonese local vs Mandarin mainlanders. The foreigners, expats, speak Italian, Spanish, French and English. Sometimes Russian. Many have kids and dogs. Many have bikes and scooters.

Friends sometime pass by. And sit for a chat. Sometimes come home to our place for a cuppa. The Koel, a cuckoo, calls his plaintive cry, prepping for his annual act of perfidy.

Most folks are not wearing masks, maybe 90% not. Of the few that are, all are Chinese. Outdoors, in a fresh easterly….

I rang my mother, Mutti, just now, but it was 6:55 pm there in Oz, she was about to sit down and watch the news on the ABC, and asked me to ring back in an hour. It’s entirely possible to live a happy and productive life watching only “Auntie” ABC in Australia, for news. Or only the BBC in the UK, or only MSNBC in America. Mutti is rising 102 and proof of it. But you’ll not know a lot of what’s going on, the stuff that MSM have decided is not good for you to know. Cause you might vote for the wrong person. Again, entirely possible to do that and be happy doing so. And ending with this observation is rather like ending on a conspiracy theory. Yes. Still, I’d rather know a fuller picture. You can never know it all; who can? Just a bit more informed than Auntie and the Beens might have you know.

And I think of son John, over at the UCLA Law School who’s getting ready to go to the Vis Moot in Vienna, as rhe UCLA team of five. 300 teams.More at Wikipedia. Quite a big deal, but he didn’t say anything about it: we learned by accident. Weird. 

Time to give Mutti a ring. Time to enjoy the passing passeggiata folk. Time to enjoy the warm late-day sun. Free vitamin D. 

It’s a very lovely scene here. 

TTFN.