All that said: China still has the most reasonable climate policy. IMO.
Notes to self:
Not denying what Jason Wordie says in his piece today. Any time a government gets into the racket of trying to ramp up “fun”, things are going to go awry. My comments here are more in the “yes, but… “ or “maybe, but also…” category.
Memories of Shenzhen in 1976, 1985, 2020. Paddy fields to megalopolis. Then: village. Now: Tawdry, sleazy, dirty, messy, uninteresting. Not at all pretty. Whereas Hong Kong certainly is pretty. Beautiful at times. Late afternoon, sun setting over the hills of Lantau.
Memories of arriving back in Hong Kong after a time in Beijing. Or in Shanghai. HK: A breath of fresh air. Also same feeling from recent visits to mainland. A relief to come back. And not be subject to endless supervision. And crowds. And queues.
“The tyrant” (Beijing) showed forbearance. Beijing could have come in earlier and harder. Like Tanks.
“2019 and all that”: the demonstrators didn’t operate “within the usual legal constraints”. The subways torched, police attacked, mainlanders labelled “locusts” and “cockroaches”. Shops refusing to sell to mainlanders.
“The wilful absence…” para pokes fun at adverbs; is itself invested (fully!) with adverbs.
Could a similar article to this one be published on the mainland? Maybe. Probably not. Cause it criticises fundamental policy of “the leadership”. Makes fun of them. Heh!
|Kewl in Black. Click above for the story|
Elsewhere the Left has gone crazy over Elon’s Border Trip. They don’t like it one little bit. Of course never saying exactly why, and why they can’t fix it (they don’t want to)
Matt Taibbi is one of the very best investigative journalists around. In his latest article here, he lays it out yet again. With such powerful circumstantial evidence that the origin of the Covid-19 virus was not just a lab leak in the Wuhan Institute of Virology, but that it resulted from experiments funded by Anthony Fauci’s National Institute of Health.
In short: Fauci and his NIH are the ones that would be brought to trial for the deaths of over 6 million humans, if this ever did come to court. Of course, he’s being protected. Because.
The article, which I clip below, has all the links to the relevant evidence.
The Director of National Intelligence is at the top of the pyramid of intelligence services in the United States: that is, many agencies and hundreds of thousands of staff. The previous Director of the Centers for Disease Control, Robert Redfield, also testified to Congress that in his view the preponderance of the evidence was that Covid-19 origins were in a leak from the Wuhan Institute of Virology.
IIRC, Redfield quoted three pieces of damning evidence: (i) That the military took over control of the WIV, suddenly, in late 2019. (ii) That the WIV ordered an emergency fit-out on new HVAC equipment. (iii) That the WIV scrubbed 30,000+ items from a database of bat-coronaviruses. To that we can add (iv) That three researchers at the WIV fell sick with something that presented very similar to Covid, in late 2019; that is before it had been identified as Covid-19.
Back to Matt and the ex Director of NI:
Testimony from Former Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe in April echoed the same theme.
“The challenges that I and other senior Trump Administration officials encountered while in office include legitimate concerns about the closely-held sources of our intelligence and the sensitive methods used to obtain it, as well as illegitimate roadblocks related to professional conflicts of interest and partisan politics,” Ratcliffe told Congress.
Ratcliffe essentially claimed intelligence officials knew what happened, but weren’t willing to say what happened. “Were this a trial,” he said, “the preponderance of circumstantial evidence provided by our intelligence would compel a jury finding of guilt to an accusation that the coronavirus research in the Wuhan labs was responsible for spawning a global pandemic.” [my emphasis]
We’ve had a couple of late night .... um... conversations I guess you’d call them.. with old mates. “We” as in Jing and me. And “old mates” as in really old mates, a European and an Aussie, both living and working in Asia for many years, married to Asian women, with Eurasian kids who’ve gone to school here and are multi-lingual.
These are by any measure sophisticated guys, cosmopolitan. They own and still run businesses they themselves founded. They know what it’s like to meet a payroll. And that’s an important thing. Having to meet a payroll every month, no matter what, to make sure you meet your commitment to your staff, no matter what, that’s a truly sobering and chastening experience. I admire anyone who’s done it, as we have and as have these lads. Longterm and consistently. Good job, lads!
In both cases we ended up talking politics, mostly American politics. I think that’s partly because American politics have become the default; the politics of the whole world. They’re a way to measure yourself against others. In simplest terms it’s Trump v Biden. Though we, Jing and I, we prefer to say: we’re Independent. As a younger lad I would’ve voted Clinton and Obama and Clinton2. But I could also have voted Nixon, Reagan and Bush. Trump? That’s another story and perhaps a hill too far, although v Biden it’s the Don, for Biden is too poor of a president.
But I’m running ahead of myself. Let’s rewind a touch.
It’s no surprise really that American politics have become the default for everyone. After all, they’re endlessly fascinating. We’ve no sooner had an election than we’re wondering about the mid-term elections. And then it’s on to the next election. And of course, with the Trump election in 2016, we had the real earthquake and now everyone is focussed on 2024. Where it’s kinda possible that the Republican candidate will be campaigning from a prison cell. I mean,, that’s box office Gold!
But our two friends, talking about all this -- and they were keen to do so -- were talking with a CNN view. We learnt this, as we learned that there were big chunks of “things that have happened” that they knew nothing about. They openly admitted that they only watched CNN, and were quite happy with that. They were busy guys, after all. They don’t have time to chase down alternatives and at least CNN is a “curated” site. It’s not some random podcast by some random guy in the basement, who has who know what crazy views. And fair enough. I understand that.
What they didn’t know, though, because of only watching CNN, was a lot. Here’s a list, of what neither one knew:
Each of these is major, but our friends were and (largely) remain oblivious to them. (I say “largely” because even when told of them, they showed no real interest in finding out more. As they say:“It’s easier to fool someone that it is to convince them they’ve been fooled”).
The Mueller Report, for example, concludes that there was no Russian collusion with the Trump campaign. And that they Russian mis-disinformation campaigns via Facebook did nothing to change the outcome of the 2016 election.
The Durham Report, for another example, concludes that there was no predicate for the FBI to begin an investigation into the Trump campaign (The Crossfire Hurricane project), which it nevertheless did, on the basis of bogus information provided by Hillary Clinton and known by then president Obama and then vice president Biden. Both of these are extraordinary, breathtaking, examples of high-level corruption. But ignored by CNN.
The Hunter Biden laptop reveals the influence peddling of the Biden family up to and including the now president. Again, ignored by CNN. Despite that fact that it’s true!
It happened that Michael Shellenberger had a sit-down with Winston Marshall just a few days after we’d had the above talks, which is handy. Because Michael lays out so much of this, in one good podcast.
For the future, maybe they’re quite happy to keep on with just being informed by CNN. If so, fine. Though I reckon is they do, they don’t really have grounds for strong opinions on anything much in current affairs. Because the CNN view of the world is so palpably one-sided.
But if they think they ought to look outside the bubble sometimes, and they don’t want to go social media -- because there’s so many crazies out there, and you can’t trust them -- well, fine, and maybe just look here at this blog from time to time. I do cover issue over on the right of the aisle. And I do try to include only sound observers.
This could be like “What you don’t learn from CNN” service.
Coz Woke. Even smart people can be stupid.
Just goes to show how insidious is woke ideology. That it can scramble the brain of even a famous STEM scientist. And no, he hasn’t reached any “higher plane of learning”. He’s simply gone non-science.
The pity is that the invectives hurled, the hatred, the contempt, the ad hominem is all from the Yes side to the No side. None that I can find from the No side to the Yes side. There must be some, just that I’ve not seen it. The vast majority of insults are from the Yes side. Which is why you don’t see yard signs with the No vote. Yes-aiders call No voters all manner of horrid stuff: “racist”, “Nazis”, “small minded”, “stupid”, “Trumpian”; if it’s an aboriginal No voter, they toss in “Uncle Tom”, “House N***”, and “coconut” for good measure. It’s all been pretty ugly.
The other prominent aboriginal No campaigner, Senator Jacinta Nampijimpa Price, has been a particular target of hatred.
The vote is on Saturday 14 October. This coming Saturday fortnight. The polls suggest the No vote will win.
Also there’s heaps of YT vids on each.
Vote carefully. There’s plenty there to consider. The Australian Broadcasting Corporation: The Voice Referendum Explained
|Click above for the video|
Listen, too, to her story of her aunt, who disappeared 40 years ago, running away, after she’d been offered to an aged relative in marriage. Jacinta has talked of the need to LISTEN to voices to fight domestic violence in the indigenous community. Never mind the Voice. Listen.
Jacinta wants to get away from the victimhood mentality. And the “White Saviour” complex.
She says: a Canberra-based Voice won’t help aboriginals in rural and outback Australia.
Especially as the Voice will be staffed by the same people who’ve overseen fifty years of failed policies. Backed by $30 billion per year. Where has it gone? Why them again? “Them” being Megan Davis, Pat Anderson, Marcia Langton and Noel Pearson.
Noel Pearson: where has the $300 million gone that you were given for the 300 aborigines in Cape York? How was the money spent? Why no closing of their gaps? With a million a head?
Polls running 60/40 NO.
CO2 per year
Average Houses: That same 110 kWh would provide back up power for 6 houses and save 29 Tonnes of CO2 per year.
There is a current shortage, predicted to get worse, of battery inputs like Lithium, Cobalt nd Nickel. Therefore there will be a shortage of batteries.
“There will be a shortage of EV battery supplies,” said Joshua Cobb, senior auto analyst for BMI. Link
Given the expected shortage of batteries the question then is: Where best to use batteries? Houses or EVs?
Clearly the answer houses. Because they will save up to 15 Times more CO2 than if used in EVs
But all that’s pushed is EVs. It’s the narrative. Even though the picture is even worse than that. Look at what Volkswagen says (above chart) about when an EV becomes carbon neutral vs its diesel equivalent: it’s not until 70,000 MILES.
Or 80k miles or 90k miles (145k kilometres) or even NEVER, if the EV car is big enough, according to a TedX talk sent by an OR. For now, the best is option for cars is hybrid. Which is kind of what I would have thought. Especially given the huge “range anxiety” that is reported by every EV driver going on a long trip: by “long” meaning anything over 300km or 200 miles.
Renewables are cheaper, within context: if you measure the electricity generated at peak time. But things make them not so cheap: their intermittency and the requirement for a whole new grid, electric power lines from where the solar and wind farms are to the cities.
Their intermittency: wind and solar generate only about 20-25% of the time. Vs nearly 100% of the time for nuclear, gas and coal. So for the same amount of effective installed capacity, you need four to five times the amount of installed capacity.
Power lines: these cost around $US 1-2 million per kilometre. Thousands of km are needed because the wind and solar farms are not where the old generating plants used to be. These add billions of dollars to the cost of any major renewable facility. People along the way are not at all keen on them, authorities are finding: eg in Australia.
China is very keen on renewables. It installs the more than anyone in the world, combined. It makes most of the world’s solar panels and turbines. Yet, even China does not install only wind and solar. Because of the factors above: the need for caseload power, the need for reliability and the need for huge amounts of land for Renewables.
Note how the article above casually mentions “TRILLIONS” of dollars per year. That’s percentage points of world GDP, which is around 100 Trillion. That’s not small beer.
Note too the mention of “progress is good” in converting to renewable. Then the “But”.... This is a trick. You can *always* say xxx “could have been/should have been: more, earlier, faster, harder, or still more”. It reflects never being satisfied. The fact is the world, apart from China, has been dropping CO2 emissions. All rests with China. China. Which has 47% more CO2 emissions than the US and the EU combined. Get on board with hammering China. Not the poor folks in the west, struggling to keep a car on the road and doesn’t want an EV, or struggling to keep a Boiler going with natural gas. All that stuff -- changing to EVs, changing boilers -- is small beer compared with the China challenge. And good luck with that.
Monday's letter, obtained by HKFP, gave each mission a month to submit the job titles, residential addresses and identification details of all locally-employed staff. It comes a year after Beijing demanded floor plans for each consulate's property. More
"There are no solutions, only trade offs" — Thomas Sowell.
|Kuafu: Handsome Dad|
Either way, it’s the cute nickname of China’s latest advance in the seemingly ever-nascent fusion power.
Now they’re saying commercial fusion is 30-50 years away. Which is further in the future that it was when they were telling us fusion is twenty years away.
We’re hoping, of course. From today’s news, “China launches ‘Kuafu’ nuclear fusion research facility”:
A Xinhua report on Monday revealed for the first time the interior of the completed main building of the facility in east China’s Anhui province.
I don’t love Donald Trump. I don’t hate him either. And I’m not deluded enough to believe, really believe, that he’s Hitler incarnate.
In 2016 I thought he was a bit of a joke. When he won I thought, oh well, this is going to be interesting. And how! What I was not prepared for was the whole Russia collusion thing the full-on denial of his election legitimacy and a hatred that morphed into Trump Derangement Syndrome. A proper mental health issue.
My wife says I’m a bit of a bellwether for independent voters. That is, how I say I’d vote is how the U.S. independents end up voting. In the US that’s about 20% of the population. The Dems and Reps each have ~40% of core voters, the “rusted on” supporters. So they have to entice the remaining 20%. Or enough to tip the balance at the electoral college level. (We have to keep reminding ourselves, the popular vote is entirely irrelevant).
If I’d had an American vote (which, being Aussie, I don’t), I would’ve voted for both the Clintons, for Al Gore and for Obama (heaven help me), but would not have voted for Biden in 2020. There’s decent analysis that we’d be in a better place if we’d had Trump instead of Biden. Likely we’d not have had Russian war win Ukraine, saving hundreds of thousands of young men. And we’d have a better economy. But it wasn’t to be, and a big part of the reason is the stupid nonsense campaign that Trump himself ran.
I still think — we in this household, this independent household, think — that Joe Biden is making a hash of his presidency, no matter how much they’re spinning it in his side.
But can Trump be better? Given what we know of his hash in 2020. And the emerging incompetence of him for 2024.
Going by his most recent interviews, one in Leftie MSNBC and one with right leaning Megyn Kelly, it’s a no for me. I started to watch each. And in each I had to give up after a while in disgust. At the bullshit bloviating. At the outright stupidity: saying the 2024 election will be totally rigged, but expecting your supporters, and we independents, to vote for you anyway. Being lukewarm about early voting. I felt like yelling “what’s wrong with you, man?!” Of course people should vote early! It was failure to do so that lost two Georgia Senate seats.
I never thought Trump as a Hitler, as the left keep calling him. Or if he is, he’s the worst Hitler. Or misunderstood him greatly. Or the left doesn’t understand Hitler. Anyway, he’s not Hitler and in four years he did nothing the least like Hitler. And yes, that includes the bogus January 6 “insurrection “.
But now he’s looking tired amd out of touch and plain silly. That’s not a good look.
If I am indeed a bellwether for independents, it’s looking stormy for Trump.
Never mind Hitler. How can one vote for Stupid?
Replying “Elusive UN pandemic treaty points to dangerous Covid amnesia” By David Dodwell
Dodwell: "In short, Covid-19 remains alive and well, killing thousands of people daily". That is NOT correct.
Worldometer: last seven days total deaths = 557 (36% BELOW the previous 7-days), or 80/day. In a world where around 200,000 die per day, Covid is under 0.04% of all deaths, 4 in 10k.
For most who catch it, the symptoms are indistinguishable from a common cold. Yes, we have "amnesia" about Covid and rightly so. We're done and dusted with it, no matter how much the "Covid lovers" want to keep on catastrophising.
|Click above for the video|
Look at how they raise a Barn. They’re famous for it. Justly so: in just a week they raise a whole new, huge barn. The power of community.
I thought to become Amish. Then I realised I’d need an American visa. And I’d be on my own. You need to be part of the family.
This is a wonderful documentary. (“What’s a documentary?” one of he Amish says to towards the end).
|Click above for video|
The other day it was a speech by Marcia Langton for the Yes side.
If I’m going to go with one or the other I go with Jacinta. Langton blotted her copybook, and the Yes campaign, by some ill-judged comments on racism and “stupidity” by the No campaign.
Jacinta says that blaming others for problems in the indigenous community is to accept victimhood culture. Where it’s always someone else’s fault. That takes agency away from First Nations people. It’s wrong to say “you’re being opressed and no matter what you do you can’t succeed”. That’s a very negative message which only perpetuates failures in the indigenous community.
She talks of the misogyny in the indigenous community. Which has been hidden by the insistence on the racial narrative. Parliament, specifically PM Albanese, refuses to listen to issues we have in the indigenous community around domestic violence. Because they are in thrall to the indigenous victim industry.
She says: we already have a voice. What we need is for parliament to LISTEN.
Powerful, Persuasive Price. Jacinta for PM !!
The west and many here in Hong Kong — including many of our friends — cheered this on. A battle against the tyrants in Beijing.
While we were thinking — this is crazy. It isn’t going to end well. And it didn’t: it gave us the National Security Law.
Hong Kong gets hammered for jailing some of the vandals of LegCo. Jailed for some months or in some cases for a few years. Meantime the US regime cheers the jailing of January 6 protesters for 30 years. 30 years! Who did nothing more or less than the demonstrators in Hong Kong did.
This is grossest hypocrisy. Hypocrisy: a better word for “Whataboutism”. Hypocrisy.
So, again, I’m agreeing with Alex Lo. Weird, but there it is.