Trump is getting cranky with South Korea and demanding joint exercises aimed at the North be scaled back.
I’m going to put that very firmly in my bucket of “I don’t know”. In my trusty “I-don’t-like-it-but-will-wait-and-see” bucket.
It would be foolish to trust anything the North says. Especially anything Kim Jing-un says. Duplicity is their super power.
Is the armistice really “unstable” as the South’s president Lee Jae Myung says? Gee it’s worked pretty well for over three-quarters of a century. Look at night-time satellite photos of the Korean Peninsula to see who’s done best from it. The price? A super-fortified border and large armed forces kept at the ready. Is that so bad? Would a “peace deal” do anything other than strengthen the North?
An Armistice is what’s discussed as a possible outcome of the Russia-Ukraine war. Where neither side has to admit defeat. It’s a kind of “let’s agree to disagree” pact. And in the meantime let’s stop killing each other.
Trump threatening a strong and stable ally like South Korea because he’s pissed off they didn’t support him enough in the Iran war?? Cutting off one’s nose, Donald!
Gabriela Bernal thinks rather more positively, in today’s “Donald Trump’s blunt remarks offer South Korea an opportunity”.
But we have to remember, there’s pressures to shift South Korea to be closer to China. Trump may be more played than player…
/Snip:
Scaling back the drills should, therefore, not be seen as a blow to South Korea’s security posture but as a potential opportunity to create an opening in a relationship plagued by deep hostility. Reducing the scope of the exercises, along with Trump’s strong rhetoric about the “hostile” message the drills seem to send Pyongyang, is a relatively low-cost goodwill signal that could result in progress towards resuming dialogue.
South Korea’s government has been asking for exactly this kind of opening. On August 15, President Lee Jae Myung used his Liberation Day address to propose talks to formally end the Korean war and to replace what he called the “unstable armistice” system with a durable “peace regime”. He also invited the directly involved parties to set aside mutual threats and discuss practical steps to halt the advance of the North’s nuclear programme.
Why are we interested? Well, this is our backyard. Our typhoons are their typhoons. We’re in the same weather system, for goodness sake! Of course we’re interested. The Korean Peninsula is one of the major global flashpoints.Not just North v South. Also China v America. It’s in the category of existential for us here in Hong Kong.
Elephants fighting, not good news for mice.
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For Yuks: The Bee has a go at The Donald: “Trump Admits Both Koreas Look The Same To Him”.
Relax. It’s a joooouke!











