Sunday, 26 July 2020

‘What we know – and what we don’t know – about stopping the spread of the coronavirus’

I put this in the FWIW category. What we know, and don’t, about the coronavirus. Some use, but not too reliable.
My comment at the site is :
Hamzelou: 
"Another strategy that appears to have been successful is the use of lockdowns: imposing restrictions on movement to contain the spread of disease." 
The data do NOT support this assertion. Oxford U has a measure of the "Stringency of Lockdown". It has no correlation with no. of cases or deaths per million. (HK is an example!).
Meantime a UK Government study suggests up to 200,000 "excess deaths" as a result of lockdown. That is deaths not Covid-related, but caused by effects of *lockdowns* — eg, people going to hospitals less, not getting regular treatments, "excess" suicides, etc. You *cannot* ignore the costs — in *lives* as well as the economy — of lockdowns. This is a sloppy and superficial piece on a subject too important to treat so glibly.