Friday, 10 April 2020

' Is there serious credence to believe that China is still underreporting their number of cases?’

A while back I posted that while I believed there had been some Covid covert cover-up at the beginning (mid December) it was unlikely Chinese authorities were lying recently.  I got hammered for being naive. In particular on conservative websites and blogs, the line has been “China is lying”. It’s simply stated as fact; it's a given. But no, if you know anything about China, you know that social media is extremely active, that the censors don’t get everything (in fact they don’t get most stuff, thanks to the cleverness of word play in Chinese, "digital disobedience", as reported in the China Digital Times, and the sheer volume, 800 840 million online), and that it’s easy to get around the Great China Firewall: get a VPN, a fifteen minute job.
Here below, Eddie Kwong makes that point in more detail and I find it persuasive (of course I would!).
His other point is: if there were major underreporting, now, right now, it would impact on governance and could even unseat the CCP, if it turned out there were many more cases than is being reported.
It’s time for the west to stop with the China-blaming rhetoric and get on with controlling the outbreak themselves. And if they want to look back, they must admit how dilatory they were.
We were sitting here in Hong Kong in mid February, when already Wuhan had been locked down since January 23rd -- locked down 60 million people! -- the WHO was pleading for western countries to take it seriously and yet Trump -- and the Democrats! Nancy, Chuck, De Blasio, Biden, Bernie -- were downplaying it, until late February and even into March, saying everything is “fine", it’s all "under control", go, go, and attend those parties, go! -- and all the rest of the pabulum they are now running away from. "It’s China’s fault!"
Oh... no it isn’t....
Read Eddie Kwong's answer to Is there serious credence to believe that China is still underreporting their number of cases? on Quora