Saturday 11 April 2020

Covid-19 virus update, 11 April

My spreadsheet from figures at Worldometer 
Gloom. Over 100,000 deaths. And new cases back up…
HK  = 990. New = 16. One new here in Discovery Bay, Case 984. M 50, Crestmont Villa. Imported. Historical note: Crestmont Villa is the first place we saw in DB, in June 1998, when we came to visit Alan and Qianying Reid and their girls and where we fell in love with DB, moving here shortly after.
ADDED: BBC tells us that 830 people died in England last 24 hrs aged 11 to 102. What they didn’t tell us is that 96% of them had a preexisting condition. Why didn’t they tell us that? Or that 87% were over 70. Why didn’t they tell us that either? Maybe to keep us scared? 
Bit of good news: models now predicting many fewer deaths than earlier projections. at least for US and UK. Q: is that because of lockdown measures? Or despite…? All eyes on Sweden, which is taking soft lockdown route.
Big study must be done: who did what and what worked best?  I don’t think we’re anywhere close to knowing that yet, for sure. Though I’ve come out as a “Lockdown Denier”. What I mean is the harsh lockdowns like UK, Italy, Spain. Not like here, where we have less harsh measures, but are doing just fine — at least comparatively. Everywhere, everywhere the economic impact is devastating.  

So, to relax as I write, I’m listening to Radio 4 Extra, “Robert Barr — Detective, The Bank Raid”. First broadcast 1980. Blessed innocent days. I was a young man serving in the Australian embassy in what was then known as Peking. New show:  a reading of “Death in the Fifth Position” by Gore Vidal.

Korean vaccine breakthrough
Plagues and locusts. Pandemic and picnics
Cold facts on coronavirus costs. 200 million jobs lost
Virus vaccine could be ready by September.  As UK death curve falls (The Times)
The New York Times ‘Coronavirus showing up which entrepreneurs matter
While here in Hong Kong our billionaires are scandalously missing in action.

Alex Lo comment on the PR war

Off Topic: Basic Law Best Bet