In the “gee d’ya think?” category. The Economist Intelligence Unit unburdens itself of the platitude that that if there’s a war over Taiwan, then neighbouring Japan, Philippines and Korea are going to be impacted. And us here in Hong Kong. Do tell.
If there is war over Taiwan it will only be because Beijing starts it. Taiwan just needs to stand pat, to keep saying “the status quo is best”. Because it is. And not call for “Independence”. Don’t do that. Don’t tweak the dragon’s tail.