Saturday 15 February 2020

Covid-19 virus update, 15 February

Return of downward trend in rate of new infections: 2,8% new
Frown Worldometer
Enough of the China bashing !
I pretty much agree there’s been an overreaction
Coronavirus, like the flu, here to stay?
Covid-19 hits exports of lobsters
Will Covid make us or break us ?
And the news seems to be repeating …
Well there’s this: daily arrivals in Hong Kong down 98.5%
And global tourism takes an $80 billion hit
And China slams Australia for “extreme measures

ADDED: FWIW, figures for actual rate of new infections and trendline.  Goes to zero around 19th February. I repeat that I don’t trust this trendline “projection”, and take more notice of official estimates which have the outbreak coming under control in mid to late March. There’s likely to be a long tail. As cases reduce the marginal decrease is harder to control.
[The spike in numbers on 13 Feb was due to new reporting protocols, not a jump in actual new cases]
Click to enlarge and clarify