Sunday 13 November 2022

The midterms and sexual demographics

This is from exit polls and so the most accurate. Young unmarried women were a key. Joe Biden commended them. Other polls tell us they voted largely on the abortion issue. So, the Dobbs decision by SCOTUS hurt the GOP.

Other reasons for GOP underperforming: (1) poor candidates, often associated with MAGA aka Trump and his “election denialism” (not accepting 2020 results) (2) successful Dem fear messages— like loss of abortion rights, plus the “Democracy is on the ballot” line.

It wasn’t poor GOP turnout, as they won 5-6 million more votes overall than the Dems.