Wednesday 16 November 2022

It’s the Ballots, stupid!

A week after election day and Arizona still hasn’t finished counting
Add to all the excuses/reasons for the Republican failure to “Red Wave” in the mid-terms, a new one: That the Dems concentrated on getting Ballots, while the Republicans concentrated on getting Voters

Sounds right to me: Reps have been very successful in enticing new voters: they gained for example in minority groups, especially Hispanic and Black. Both had big increases. And overall they got 5 million more votes across the country than the Dems.

But the Dems concentrated on the Ballots, getting that vote into the box: the early ballots, the mail-in ballots, the harvested ballots, etc... They got those ballots into the boxes and that’s what counts.

This began in a big way in 2020, when Covid led to new ways of voting: increase -- a huge increase -- in voting by mail. Which the Dems treated seriously and the Reps, for reasons known only to them, did not. And it cost, dearly. In Georgia that year we had Trump being churlish and calling on Reps to not vote by mail cause you couldn’t trust the system; so they didn’t vote and both the Senate seats, which were predicted Red, broke Blue. Blame Trump, blame also the Reps system (RNC) for not treating it seriously. 

If the Reps don’t treat getting ballots in the box, as much as the Dems do, they won’t win again. 

Victor David Hanson, senior fellow at Hoover Institution, has more on this

ADDED: I’ve voted here in Hong Kong over the last 20 years. We don’t vote for our Chief Executive (yet!), but we do have votes for the District Councillors, and I’ve even chaired a campaign. Our elections are truly competitive, are in-person, on the day, require ID, have been verified by international election inspection bodies as thoroughly credible. I agree. It is a good and fair system. 

The US should move back to where it was before: mostly in-person, on the day, (with some absentee balloting). But it won’t. Because the Dems clearly gain too much from the trickle in votes, the mail-ins, etc, to ever agree to change....