Saturday, 28 May 2022

"Are you worried about the possibility of nuclear war?"

Lex Fridman talking to Stephen Kotkin, expert on Stalin and Soviet history. And Kotkin's response is that we must all be worried. But there are some .... positives.

Hear here how Russia's "dual key" system for their strategic nuclear weapons controls who and how Russia might launch nuclear weapons. Putin has one key; the top of the armed forces has another. Each with separate codes.

No one knows if Putin would launch a nuclear strike, if they had battlefield set-backs in Ukraine. Will the people flying the bombers, will the people in the silos, those "young guys", will they let the missiles go? You can see it's more than one man making the decisions. 

As for "low-yield" tactical weapons, if they fire one at Ukraine our it's also fired against Russia. The fallout for a weapon used in Ukraine will bring fallout to the Kremlin. So that's an obvious brake. 

That's good. Right? Right!?... A fascinating listen, as nuclear war is again in the zeitgeist, like back in the 60s.