Sunday, 1 March 2026

Operation Epic Fury against Iran: the military expert's view

 

In a scale of 0 to 10 -- how important is actual war experience? 

I'd say it's a 10. 

Which is huge issue in terms of what we think should there be a China-US confrontation over Taiwan. U.S. has had the experience, and continues to have ongoing experience. China has had none since its embarrassing loss in its war with Vietnam in 1979. 

Not that I hope for one, or push for one. My consistent view has been: keep the status quo. That's been working just fine for everyone. 

But.. IF.... Then how much more than sheer numbers (which is the China advantage) does the fact of battle-tested ultra-modern tech (the American advantage) count? My guess...  a lot.