“Ukraine war lessons make attack on Taiwan unlikely“ | SCMP

The character above is Zhàn,”War”. Kind of odd stuck there by itself

“Ukraine war lessons make attack on Taiwan unlikely“.  So says a Taiwanese security chief. Then again, who knows? Not many predicted the full-on attack of Ukraine. At least Xi Jinping would not want to do anything before the 20th Party conference in November.

For background here is a good BBC Explainer of a few days ago.

Commenters at the site point out something I’d posted about before: how much stronger China’s military is, than before, and than Russia. Also Taiwanese numbers only half of Ukraines. Then again, I, guessing Taiwan's military is better equipped and better trained than Ukraine’s.  

ADDED: How fast things change. Here the thought is that Russia’s attack in Ukraine was quick, the West’s response so weak that it made attack on Taiwan more likely. No longer can we say the West's response is weak, nor that the Russian advance so quick. That was exactly a month ago.

ADDED (2): The triggering thing would be a Taiwanese declarations of independence. Better the status quo, which is de facto independence.